Induction chemotherapy in pancreatic cancer: CA 19-9 may predict resectability and survival

Preoperative/Neoadjuvant treatment (NT) is increasingly used in unresectable pancreatic cancer (PDAC). However, ∼40% of patients cannot be resected after NT and reliable preoperative response evaluation is currently lacking. We investigated CA 19-9 levels and their dynamics during NT for prediction of resectability and survival. We screened our institution's database for patients who underwent exploration or resection after NT with gemcitabine-based therapy (GEM) or FOLFIRINOX (FOL). Pre- and post-NT CA 19-9, resection rate and survival were analyzed. Of 318 patients 165 (51.9%) were resected and 153 (48.1%) received exploration. In the FOL group (n = 103; 32.4%), a post-NT CA 19-9 cutoff at 91.8 U/ml had a sensitivity of 75.0% and a specificity of 76.9% for completing resection with an AUC of 0.783 in the ROC analysis (95% CI: 0.692–0.874; p