Prognostic impact of circulating tumor DNA status post–allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in AML and MDS

This study was performed to assess the utility of tumor-derived fragmentary DNA, or circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), for identifying high-risk patients for relapse of acute myeloid leukemia and myelodysplastic syndrome (AML/MDS) after undergoing myeloablative allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT). We retrospectively collected tumor and available matched serum samples at diagnosis and 1 and 3 months post-alloSCT from 53 patients with AML/MDS. After identifying driver mutations in 51 patients using next-generation sequencing, we designed at least 1 personalized digital polymerase chain reaction assay per case. Diagnostic ctDNA and matched tumor DNA exhibited excellent correlations with variant allele frequencies. Sixteen patients relapsed after a median of 7 months post-alloSCT. Both mutation persistence (MP) in bone marrow (BM) at 1 and 3 months post-alloSCT and corresponding ctDNA persistence (CP) in the matched serum (MP1 and MP3; CP1 and CP3, respectively) were comparably associated with higher 3-year cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR) rates (MP1 vs non-MP1, 72.9% vs 13.8% [P = .0012]; CP1 vs non-CP1, 65.6% vs 9.0% [P = .0002]; MP3 vs non-MP3, 80% vs 11.6% [P = .0002]; CP3 vs non-CP3, 71.4% vs 8.4% [P < .0001]). We subsequently evaluated whether subset analysis of patients with 3 genes associated with clonal hematopoiesis, DNMT3A, TET2, and ASXL1 (DTA), could also be helpful in relapse prediction. As a result, CP based on DTA gene mutations also had the prognostic effect on CIR. These results, for the first time, support the utility of ctDNA as a noninvasive prognostic biomarker in patients with AML/MDS undergoing alloSCT. •Noninvasive testing of serum CP post–allogeneic transplant could predict relapse in AML and MDS.•Predictive utility of testing ctDNA, including DTA, was comparable to that of mutation persistence in matched BM. [Display omitted]