Development of a prognostic model for caries onset and progression from early childhood caries incidence in urban preschool children
Aim Of this prospective cohort study was to assess early childhood caries (ECC) incidence and, based on the data, build a model that not only predicts future ECC onset in clinically caries-free children, but also is prognostic for children with ECC. Methods ECC incidence was assessed at the 12-month...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | European archives of paediatric dentistry 2019-08, Vol.20 (4), p.303-309 |
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| creator | Kopycka-Kedzierawski, D. T. Billings, R. J. Feng, C. |
| description | Aim
Of this prospective cohort study was to assess early childhood caries (ECC) incidence and, based on the data, build a model that not only predicts future ECC onset in clinically caries-free children, but also is prognostic for children with ECC.
Methods
ECC incidence was assessed at the 12-month follow-up examination on a cohort of 291 preschool children. Weighted general estimation equation (WGEE) was used to estimate the effects of covariates on ds (decayed primary tooth surfaces) and dfs (decayed and filled primary tooth surfaces).
Results
The mean dfs at the baseline examination was 0.81. Of the 116 children who completed the study, approximately 22% examined at baseline had ECC (dfs > 0). At 12-months, 36% had ECC with a mean dfs of 2.22. Children with dfs = 0 at baseline had 2.95 fewer ds in the primary dentition at the end of the study than children who had ECC at the baseline examination (dfs > 0) (p 0) (p |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s40368-018-0404-2 |
| format | Article |
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Of this prospective cohort study was to assess early childhood caries (ECC) incidence and, based on the data, build a model that not only predicts future ECC onset in clinically caries-free children, but also is prognostic for children with ECC.
Methods
ECC incidence was assessed at the 12-month follow-up examination on a cohort of 291 preschool children. Weighted general estimation equation (WGEE) was used to estimate the effects of covariates on ds (decayed primary tooth surfaces) and dfs (decayed and filled primary tooth surfaces).
Results
The mean dfs at the baseline examination was 0.81. Of the 116 children who completed the study, approximately 22% examined at baseline had ECC (dfs > 0). At 12-months, 36% had ECC with a mean dfs of 2.22. Children with dfs = 0 at baseline had 2.95 fewer ds in the primary dentition at the end of the study than children who had ECC at the baseline examination (dfs > 0) (p < 0.0001). Children with dfs = 0 at baseline had 5.49 fewer ds and dfs in the primary dentition at the end of the study than children who had ECC at the baseline examination (dfs > 0) (p < 0.0001).
Conclusions
ECC incidence at 1 year was 14%. The prevalence of ECC at the 12-month follow-up examination was approximately 36%. The model developed from these data strongly indicate that past caries experience in the primary dentition is a significant predictor of future caries activity and severity, as well as a predictor of future caries onset in clinically caries-free children.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1818-6300</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1996-9805</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s40368-018-0404-2</identifier><identifier>PMID: 30539339</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><subject>Age ; Cameras ; Childhood ; Children & youth ; Clinical trials ; Consent ; Data analysis ; Dental care ; Dental caries ; Dentistry ; Ethnicity ; Families & family life ; Gender ; Longitudinal studies ; Medicine ; Missing data ; Original Scientific Article ; Preschool children ; Questionnaires ; Teeth</subject><ispartof>European archives of paediatric dentistry, 2019-08, Vol.20 (4), p.303-309</ispartof><rights>European Academy of Paediatric Dentistry 2018</rights><rights>European Academy of Paediatric Dentistry 2018.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c372t-6673aa1b98a9b88d3a2ff9dff0c498a0381050f591dc57f21ec580b2f8ff6ea53</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c372t-6673aa1b98a9b88d3a2ff9dff0c498a0381050f591dc57f21ec580b2f8ff6ea53</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s40368-018-0404-2$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/2932276833?pq-origsite=primo$$EHTML$$P50$$Gproquest$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,21388,21389,27924,27925,33530,33531,33744,33745,41488,42557,43659,43805,51319,64385,64387,64389,72469</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30539339$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Kopycka-Kedzierawski, D. T.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Billings, R. J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Feng, C.</creatorcontrib><title>Development of a prognostic model for caries onset and progression from early childhood caries incidence in urban preschool children</title><title>European archives of paediatric dentistry</title><addtitle>Eur Arch Paediatr Dent</addtitle><addtitle>Eur Arch Paediatr Dent</addtitle><description>Aim
Of this prospective cohort study was to assess early childhood caries (ECC) incidence and, based on the data, build a model that not only predicts future ECC onset in clinically caries-free children, but also is prognostic for children with ECC.
Methods
ECC incidence was assessed at the 12-month follow-up examination on a cohort of 291 preschool children. Weighted general estimation equation (WGEE) was used to estimate the effects of covariates on ds (decayed primary tooth surfaces) and dfs (decayed and filled primary tooth surfaces).
Results
The mean dfs at the baseline examination was 0.81. Of the 116 children who completed the study, approximately 22% examined at baseline had ECC (dfs > 0). At 12-months, 36% had ECC with a mean dfs of 2.22. Children with dfs = 0 at baseline had 2.95 fewer ds in the primary dentition at the end of the study than children who had ECC at the baseline examination (dfs > 0) (p < 0.0001). Children with dfs = 0 at baseline had 5.49 fewer ds and dfs in the primary dentition at the end of the study than children who had ECC at the baseline examination (dfs > 0) (p < 0.0001).
Conclusions
ECC incidence at 1 year was 14%. The prevalence of ECC at the 12-month follow-up examination was approximately 36%. The model developed from these data strongly indicate that past caries experience in the primary dentition is a significant predictor of future caries activity and severity, as well as a predictor of future caries onset in clinically caries-free children.</description><subject>Age</subject><subject>Cameras</subject><subject>Childhood</subject><subject>Children & youth</subject><subject>Clinical trials</subject><subject>Consent</subject><subject>Data analysis</subject><subject>Dental care</subject><subject>Dental caries</subject><subject>Dentistry</subject><subject>Ethnicity</subject><subject>Families & family life</subject><subject>Gender</subject><subject>Longitudinal studies</subject><subject>Medicine</subject><subject>Missing data</subject><subject>Original Scientific Article</subject><subject>Preschool children</subject><subject>Questionnaires</subject><subject>Teeth</subject><issn>1818-6300</issn><issn>1996-9805</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kU1rFzEQxoMotlY_gBcJePGyOkk22eQo9RUKXuw5ZJNJu2U3-ZvsCr37wZt2WwWhh2GGzO95MvAQ8prBewYwfKg9CKU7YK166Dv-hBwzY1RnNMinbdZtowTAEXlR6xWAHMSgnpMjAVIYIcwx-fMJf-OcDwumleZIHT2UfJFyXSdPlxxwpjEX6l2ZsNKcKq7UpXBHFax1yonGkheKrszX1F9Oc7jMOTwopuSngMljm-hWRpeaFKtvzLzTBdNL8iy6ueKr-35Czr98_nn6rTv78fX76cezzouBr51Sg3COjUY7M2odhOMxmhAj-L69gdAMJERpWPByiJyhlxpGHnWMCp0UJ-Td7tuu_7VhXe0yVY_z7BLmrVrOpGQKmOkb-vY_9CpvJbXrLDeC80FpIRrFdsqXXGvBaA9lWly5tgzsbUR2j8i2iOxtRJY3zZt7521cMPxVPGTSAL4Dta3SBZZ_Xz_uegNi454J</recordid><startdate>20190801</startdate><enddate>20190801</enddate><creator>Kopycka-Kedzierawski, D. T.</creator><creator>Billings, R. J.</creator><creator>Feng, C.</creator><general>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABJCF</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>D1I</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB.</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>PDBOC</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20190801</creationdate><title>Development of a prognostic model for caries onset and progression from early childhood caries incidence in urban preschool children</title><author>Kopycka-Kedzierawski, D. T. ; Billings, R. J. ; Feng, C.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c372t-6673aa1b98a9b88d3a2ff9dff0c498a0381050f591dc57f21ec580b2f8ff6ea53</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Age</topic><topic>Cameras</topic><topic>Childhood</topic><topic>Children & youth</topic><topic>Clinical trials</topic><topic>Consent</topic><topic>Data analysis</topic><topic>Dental care</topic><topic>Dental caries</topic><topic>Dentistry</topic><topic>Ethnicity</topic><topic>Families & family life</topic><topic>Gender</topic><topic>Longitudinal studies</topic><topic>Medicine</topic><topic>Missing data</topic><topic>Original Scientific Article</topic><topic>Preschool children</topic><topic>Questionnaires</topic><topic>Teeth</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Kopycka-Kedzierawski, D. T.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Billings, R. J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Feng, C.</creatorcontrib><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Technology Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Materials Science & Engineering Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Technology Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Materials Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Materials Science Database</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Materials Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>European archives of paediatric dentistry</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Kopycka-Kedzierawski, D. T.</au><au>Billings, R. J.</au><au>Feng, C.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Development of a prognostic model for caries onset and progression from early childhood caries incidence in urban preschool children</atitle><jtitle>European archives of paediatric dentistry</jtitle><stitle>Eur Arch Paediatr Dent</stitle><addtitle>Eur Arch Paediatr Dent</addtitle><date>2019-08-01</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>20</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>303</spage><epage>309</epage><pages>303-309</pages><issn>1818-6300</issn><eissn>1996-9805</eissn><abstract>Aim
Of this prospective cohort study was to assess early childhood caries (ECC) incidence and, based on the data, build a model that not only predicts future ECC onset in clinically caries-free children, but also is prognostic for children with ECC.
Methods
ECC incidence was assessed at the 12-month follow-up examination on a cohort of 291 preschool children. Weighted general estimation equation (WGEE) was used to estimate the effects of covariates on ds (decayed primary tooth surfaces) and dfs (decayed and filled primary tooth surfaces).
Results
The mean dfs at the baseline examination was 0.81. Of the 116 children who completed the study, approximately 22% examined at baseline had ECC (dfs > 0). At 12-months, 36% had ECC with a mean dfs of 2.22. Children with dfs = 0 at baseline had 2.95 fewer ds in the primary dentition at the end of the study than children who had ECC at the baseline examination (dfs > 0) (p < 0.0001). Children with dfs = 0 at baseline had 5.49 fewer ds and dfs in the primary dentition at the end of the study than children who had ECC at the baseline examination (dfs > 0) (p < 0.0001).
Conclusions
ECC incidence at 1 year was 14%. The prevalence of ECC at the 12-month follow-up examination was approximately 36%. The model developed from these data strongly indicate that past caries experience in the primary dentition is a significant predictor of future caries activity and severity, as well as a predictor of future caries onset in clinically caries-free children.</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><pmid>30539339</pmid><doi>10.1007/s40368-018-0404-2</doi><tpages>7</tpages></addata></record> |
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| ispartof | European archives of paediatric dentistry, 2019-08, Vol.20 (4), p.303-309 |
| issn | 1818-6300 1996-9805 |
| language | eng |
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| source | ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition); ProQuest Central UK/Ireland; SpringerLink Journals - AutoHoldings; ProQuest Central |
| subjects | Age Cameras Childhood Children & youth Clinical trials Consent Data analysis Dental care Dental caries Dentistry Ethnicity Families & family life Gender Longitudinal studies Medicine Missing data Original Scientific Article Preschool children Questionnaires Teeth |
| title | Development of a prognostic model for caries onset and progression from early childhood caries incidence in urban preschool children |
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