Tropical cyclone track forecasts using an ensemble of dynamical models

[...]TC forecasts from these models have become increasingly more important in recent years as guidance to forecasters at both the National Hurricane Center (NHC, now known as the Tropical Prediction Center), Miami, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), Pearl Harbor. [...]in their study using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the UKMO global models, Harrison et al.