Major strides in forecasting future health

[...]forecasting impact of health inequalities, within and between countries, warrants attention. [...]the forecast mortality rates do not tell us what interventions will achieve what health gain, for whom, which is crucial for modelling effects on health inequalities, and the cost effects. [...]a v...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Lancet (British edition) 2018-11, Vol.392 (10159), p.e14-e15
1. Verfasser: Blakely, Tony
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:[...]forecasting impact of health inequalities, within and between countries, warrants attention. [...]the forecast mortality rates do not tell us what interventions will achieve what health gain, for whom, which is crucial for modelling effects on health inequalities, and the cost effects. [...]a vision of merging GBD data and intervention simulation models to allow multiple country assessments is achievable. 20 years after the concept of GBD was born,11 this latest innovation to forecast future health is likely to advance policy, health-services planning, and research prioritisation globally.
ISSN:0140-6736
1474-547X
DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31861-0