Prediction of Liver Disease, AIDS, and Mortality Based on Discordant Absolute and Relative Peripheral CD4 T Lymphocytes in HIV/Hepatitis C Virus-Coinfected Individuals

Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-induced liver fibrosis and splenomegaly may lead to discordance between absolute numbers and percentages of lymphocytes and subpopulations because of sequestration. We investigated lymphocyte discordance in HIV/HCV-coinfected individuals and its relationship to progression to liver disease, AIDS, and all-cause mortality. This is an observational retrospective cohort study. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) associated with liver disease, AIDS, or mortality were computed by time-updated Cox proportional hazards regression. Of 380 HIV/HCV-coinfected adult individuals followed for a median of 8.2 years, 360 individuals had a median of 11 discordant measurements corresponding to 5,080 of 9,091 paired samples (56%). Discordance alone was not associated with any of the outcomes. By multivariable analysis, a doubling of absolute or percentage CD4 cells was associated with comparable lower risks of mortality (aHR: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.53-0.67, p