stochastic forest fire growth model

We consider a stochastic fire growth model, with the aim of predicting the behaviour of large forest fires. Such a model can describe not only average growth, but also the variability of the growth. Implementing such a model in a computing environment allows one to obtain probability contour plots,...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Environmental and ecological statistics 2009-06, Vol.16 (2), p.133-151
Hauptverfasser:	Boychuk, Den, Braun, W. John, Kulperger, Reg J, Krougly, Zinovi L, Stanford, David A
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Biomedical and Life Sciences Chemistry and Earth Sciences Computer Science Ecology Forest & brush fires Forest fires Forests Fractals Growth models Health Sciences Lattice Life Sciences Markov model Math. Appl. in Environmental Science Medicine Neighborhoods Physics Rate of spread Spatial model Statistics for Engineering Statistics for Life Sciences Stochastic fire spread Stochastic models Studies Theoretical Ecology/Statistics
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	We consider a stochastic fire growth model, with the aim of predicting the behaviour of large forest fires. Such a model can describe not only average growth, but also the variability of the growth. Implementing such a model in a computing environment allows one to obtain probability contour plots, burn size distributions, and distributions of time to specified events. Such a model also allows the incorporation of a stochastic spotting mechanism.
ISSN:	1352-8505 1573-3009
DOI:	10.1007/s10651-007-0079-z