Predictors of Adverse Outcomes in Free Flap Reconstruction: A Single-Institution Experience

Objective Understanding the independent predictors of poor outcomes in free flap surgery is essential for patient selection. We aim to determine the independent predictors of major complications, flap survival, and extended hospital stays. Study Design Retrospective cohort study. Setting Tertiary medical center. Subjects and Methods We reviewed medical records from all vascularized tissue transfers in the head and neck between 2007 and 2014 at our institution. We recorded demographics, medical comorbidities, disease characteristics, flap characteristics, and intraoperative events. We defined outcomes as major complications in the 30-day postoperative period, flap death or partial flap survival, and a length of stay ≥14 days. We used bivariate and multivariate methods to test for associations. Results Of 170 free flap operations, 44% had major complications; 11% fully or partially failed; and 27% required an extended hospital stay. Independent predictors of major complications were age ≥60 years (odds ratio [OR], 3.7; P = .001), revision surgery (OR, 3.5; P = .004), and a prior neck dissection (OR, 3.5; P = .004). Independent predictors of flap failure were revision surgery (OR, 4.1, P = .01) and the use of a plate (OR, 3.7; P = .03). Revision surgery was independently associated with a longer stay (OR, 3.0; P = .01), and the use of a radial forearm flap was associated with a shorter stay (OR, 0.3, P = .047). Conclusion These results underscore that caution is warranted in revision flap surgery, patients with prior neck operations, and patients aged ≥60 years.