Increasing incidence of fracture and its sex difference in school children: 20 year longitudinal study based on school health statistic in Japan

Studies on the epidemiology of pediatric fractures have been scarce in recent years although fractures are very common in childhood. Boys have a higher incidence of fractures than girls. Currently, societal trends have seemed to influence the difference in activity patterns between boys and girls, but the sex difference regarding longitudinal changes in fracture incidence is not well known. We analyzed the school accident report in Niigata city, Japan and compared the incidence of fractures in elementary and junior high school students and the sex-related risk ratio between two 9-year periods separated by 20 years from their start and end points (1999–2007 and 1979–1987). The study included 383,273 students from 1999 to 2007 and 561,109 students from 1979 to 1987. Comparing these periods, the fracture incidence increased significantly by 2.4 times in boys vs 2.1 times in girls from elementary school and by 2.2 times in boys vs 2.9 times in girls from junior high school (all p ＜ 0.001). The sex-related risk ratio of boys to girls increased significantly from 1.47 to 1.64 in elementary school students. In contrast, it decreased significantly from 3.29 to 2.52 in junior high school students and the change was markedly significant because of the drastic increase in fracture incidence in junior high school girls. The reasons proposed for the increase in schoolchildren's fractures were an improvement in diagnosis owing to social background and increased participation in sports activities despite the general decline in children's physical fitness and exercise ability. In junior high school girls, in particular, there was an increase in fracture risk due to increased participation in sports activities.