A Clinical Scoring System to Predict the Clinical Sequelae of Computed Tomography Diagnosed Intussusception

Introduction Intussusception in adults is increasingly diagnosed on cross-sectional imaging with a lack of clear recommendations on management. The presence of an underlying lead point is a key to guiding management as its absence can predict spontaneous resolution. We studied adult patients with computed tomography (CT) diagnosed intussusception formulate a clinical scoring system to predict the risk of an underlying lead point. Methodology We performed a retrospective review of all adult patients who underwent CT scans of the abdomen and pelvis in our institution between 2001 and 2014. Independent associations of an underlying lead point were derived following multivariable analysis, from which a clinical scoring system was developed. Results We studied 140 patients. In multivariable analysis, six factors were found to be independently associated with the presence of an underlying lead point, namely gender, abdominal pain, CT evidence of colonic involvement, CT evidence of a lead point, distal diameter ≥27 mm and minimum wall thickness ≥3 mm. A nine-point clinical scoring system was developed, with a cutoff score of four or higher yielding a sensitivity and specificity of 0.75 and 0.81, respectively. Conclusion Our clinical scoring system provides a quantitative tool to predict the likelihood of an underlying lead point in CT-diagnosed intussusception in adults to help guide management.