After the demographic transition: divergence, convergence or diversity?

The author analyzes the arguments of the critics of the theory of demographic transition. It is shown that the observed differences in demographic processes in different countries do not show the fallacy of this theory. On the contrary, these differences fit well into the general trend of the theory...

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Veröffentlicht in:Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennostʹ : ONS 2015-04, Vol.2, p.112-129
1. Verfasser: Vishnevskii, Anatolii Grigor'evich
Format: Artikel
Sprache:rus
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Zusammenfassung:The author analyzes the arguments of the critics of the theory of demographic transition. It is shown that the observed differences in demographic processes in different countries do not show the fallacy of this theory. On the contrary, these differences fit well into the general trend of the theory, suggesting a paradigm shift of high birth and death rates in the paradigm of low fertility and mortality. They only show the natural diversity of demographic processes in different countries.
ISSN:0869-0499