Refining the paediatric Ebola case definition: a study of children in Sierra Leone with suspected Ebola virus disease

Abstract Background The case definition for suspected Ebola virus disease is broad, so many negative children are isolated for testing, risking nosocomial infection. We collected data on children admitted to Ebola holding units in Sierra Leone to refine the case definition and describe outcomes of admitted children. Methods All children aged less than 13 years admitted to 11 Ebola holding units in Sierra Leone between Aug 1, 2014, and March 31, 2015, were eligible for inclusion. Data were collected from paper-based clinical records, district-wide laboratory results, burial records, staff interviews, and follow-up telephone calls. The cohort was split into training and validation datasets. A model was developed with multivariable logistic regression and compared with laboratory results to explore the sensitivity and specificity of the alternative case definition. Findings Of 1054 children admitted, 309 (29%) tested positive for Ebola virus disease and 697 (66%) tested negative (48 [5%] missing). The model had an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0·80 (high performance). A case definition of Ebola virus disease contact alone, fever (in children >2 years), or fever and conjunctivitis (2 years) improved specificity (97%), with sensitivity of 23%. Children testing negative had a case fatality rate of 8% versus 57% in those with Ebola virus disease (p