Peste des Petits Ruminants risk factors and space–time clusters in Mymensingh, Bangladesh
Summary Using a hospital‐based case–control study design, our aim was to identify risk factors for—and space–time clusters of—Peste des Petits Ruminants (PPR) in Mymensingh, Bangladesh. Three hundred and eighty PPR cases diagnosed between January 2005 and December 2014 at the Bangladesh Agricultural...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Transboundary and emerging diseases 2017-12, Vol.64 (6), p.2042-2048 |
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Sprache: | eng |
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Using a hospital‐based case–control study design, our aim was to identify risk factors for—and space–time clusters of—Peste des Petits Ruminants (PPR) in Mymensingh, Bangladesh. Three hundred and eighty PPR cases diagnosed between January 2005 and December 2014 at the Bangladesh Agricultural University Veterinary Teaching Hospital (BAUVTH) were selected; three controls per case from BAUVTH were then selected (n = 1,048). From records, data extracted included information on date of report, location, age, breed, sex and body weight of goats. A mixed multivariable logistic regression model was built to identify risk factors. Location was included as a random effect and season and demographic variables as fixed effects. The approximate geographic coordinates of locations were collected, and the scan statistic (Bernoulli model) was used to identify space–time clusters of PPR. Compared with goats 6–12 and >12–24 months, respectively. The occurrence of PPR was also significantly higher (odds ratio [OR] 3.2; 95% CI: 1.15–8.59) in the Jamunapari breed than Black Bengals. Significantly higher odds of PPR were observed in winter (OR 1.6; 95% CI: 1.06–2.14) and the monsoon season (OR 1.5; 95% CI: 1.04–2.11) compared with the post‐monsoon season. Two significant (p |
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ISSN: | 1865-1674 1865-1682 |
DOI: | 10.1111/tbed.12615 |