Global land-use allocation model linked to an integrated assessment model
We developed a global land-use allocation model that can be linked to integrated assessment models (IAMs) with a coarser spatial resolution. Using the model, we performed a downscaling of the IAMs' regional aggregated land-use projections to obtain a spatial land-use distribution, which could s...
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Veröffentlicht in: | The Science of the total environment 2017-02, Vol.580, p.787-796 |
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Hauptverfasser: | , , , , |
Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
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Zusammenfassung: | We developed a global land-use allocation model that can be linked to integrated assessment models (IAMs) with a coarser spatial resolution. Using the model, we performed a downscaling of the IAMs' regional aggregated land-use projections to obtain a spatial land-use distribution, which could subsequently be used by Earth system models for global environmental assessments of ecosystem services, food security, and climate policies. Here we describe the land-use allocation model, discuss the verification of the downscaling technique, and explain the influences of the downscaling on estimates of land-use carbon emissions. A comparison of the emissions estimated with and without downscaling suggested that the land-use downscaling would help capture the spatial distribution of carbon stock density and regional heterogeneity of carbon emissions caused by cropland and pasture land expansion.
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•Development of a global land-use allocation model to be linked to integrated assessment models (IAMs).•Description of the developed model and model evaluation for the estimated land-use allocation.•Downscaling of the IAMs’ regional land-use projections into a spatial land-use distribution.•Illustration of influences of land-use downscaling on estimates of CO2 emissions from land-use changes. |
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ISSN: | 0048-9697 1879-1026 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.12.025 |