How to quantify the temporal storage effect using simulations instead of math

The storage effect has become a core concept in community ecology, explaining how environmental fluctuations can promote coexistence and maintain biodiversity. However, limitations of existing theory have hindered empirical applications: the need for detailed mathematical analysis whenever the study...

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Veröffentlicht in:Ecology letters 2016-11, Vol.19 (11), p.1333-1342
Hauptverfasser: Ellner, Stephen P., Snyder, Robin E., Adler, Peter B.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:The storage effect has become a core concept in community ecology, explaining how environmental fluctuations can promote coexistence and maintain biodiversity. However, limitations of existing theory have hindered empirical applications: the need for detailed mathematical analysis whenever the study system requires a new model, and restricted theory for structured populations. We present a new approach that overcomes both these limitations. We show how temporal storage effect can be quantified by Monte Carlo simulations in a wide range of models for competing species. We use the lottery model and a generic integral projection model (IPM) to introduce ideas, and present two empirical applications: (1) algal species in a chemostat with variable temperature, showing that the storage effect can operate without a long‐lived life stage and (2) a sagebrush steppe community IPM. Our results highlight the need for careful modelling of nonlinearities so that conclusions are not driven by unrecognised model constraints.
ISSN:1461-023X
1461-0248
DOI:10.1111/ele.12672