Asymptotic distribution of the maximum deficit with correlated, partially regulated outflows

The asymptotic distribution of the maximum accumulated deficit with partially regulated, Markov‐dependent net outflows having a Bernoulli distribution is derived, and the distribution for independent, continuous outflows is presented. It is demonstrated that under partial regulation the maximum deficit behaves as log n, where n is the length of the series; this is to be contrasted with the n½ behavior exhibited by fully regulated outflows. Also, as would be expected, the presence of correlation tends to increase the magnitude and variability of the maximum deficit.