Response to Comment on "Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures"

Kravtsov et al. claim that we incorrectly assess the statistical independence of simulated samples of internal climate variability and that we underestimate uncertainty in our calculations of observed internal variability. Their analysis is fundamentally flawed, owing to the use of model ensembles w...

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Veröffentlicht in:Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) 2015-12, Vol.350 (6266), p.1326-1326
Hauptverfasser: Steinman, B A, Frankcombe, L M, Mann, M E, Miller, S K, England, M H
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Kravtsov et al. claim that we incorrectly assess the statistical independence of simulated samples of internal climate variability and that we underestimate uncertainty in our calculations of observed internal variability. Their analysis is fundamentally flawed, owing to the use of model ensembles with too few realizations and the fact that no one model can adequately represent the forced signal.
ISSN:0036-8075
1095-9203
DOI:10.1126/science.aac5208