Multicenter study on caries risk assessment in Japanese adult patients

Objectives This study was conducted to identify significant risk factors for the onset and the accumulation of new caries in adult patients undergoing regular preventive therapy. Methods The data of 732 patients from nine Japanese general dental practices were retrospectively analyzed. Classification and regression tree (CART) analysis was applied to develop a caries prediction model using the following patient parameters: age, number of teeth with caries experience (DMFT), levels of mutans streptococci (SM) and lactobacilli (LB), saliva flow rate and buffer capacity, and compliance with a preventive program. Poisson regression analysis was conducted to identify factors affecting caries accumulation within three years. Results CART analysis identified patients at high risk for primary caries with an odds ratio of 3.08 (95%CI, 1.55-5.79; p=0.0018) according to SM levels and compliance; and those for secondary caries with an odds ratio of 3.69 (95%CI, 2.29-5.91; p