SURVIVAL RATES OF CASSIN'S AND RHINOCEROS AUKLETS AT TRIANGLE ISLAND, BRITISH COLUMBIA

We estimated survival of Cassin's Auklet (Ptychoramphus aleuticus) and Rhinoceros Auklet (Cerorhinca monocerata) from recapture rates during 1994–1997. For both species, a two “age”-class model provided the best fit. Estimates of local adult survival were significantly lower for Cassin's Auklet (0.672 ± 0.047) than for Rhinoceros Auklet (0.829 ± 0.095). Our estimate of survival appears lower than that required for the maintenance of a stable population of Cassin's Auklets. The available information indicates that a low survival rate and a declining population at Triangle Island are plausible, particularly given the recent large scale oceanographic changes which have occurred in the North Pacific Ocean. Nevertheless, additional mark-recapture data and indexes of population size are required to rigorously demonstrate population declines at the world's largest Cassin's Auklet colony.