Peak car: The first signs of a shift towards ICT-based activities replacing travel? A discussion paper

This discussion/viewpoint paper hypothesizes that the recent trend amongst young people to be less car-oriented than previous generations could be a sign of a transition towards more ICT-based activity patterns and accessibility. This transition can be clarified using theories from the areas of innovation and long waves. If such a hypothesis is true it is has major implications for travel and activity behavior, and the concept of accessibility. •Peak travel can be a sign of a transition in travel behavior.•‘Long wave’ models of travel behavior may explain trends.•ICT may increasingly become a substitute for travel.