Conventional Wisdom and the Next Unknown

Despite their inability to anticipate or predict it, intelligence analysts across the public and private sector are constantly on the lookout for the next Unknown. In fact, the role of the intelligence community is to identify future threats, collating all the intel available on potential crisis areas and then backing it up with state-of-the-art computer capacity and robust human analysis rooted in expertise from every corner of the globe. But even with this capacity, the one predictable and immutable reality is that there will continue to be intelligence failures in the future. It is inherent in the business. Here, Devine and Matthingly discuss the unknowns that the international community must confront in the coming years. From IS to Crimea, China to Chile, Russia to Israel, they discuss what they view as the growing trends in an increasingly interconnected yet unknown world. Adapted from the source document.