Evaluations of the 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts

With the 114th Congress now sworn into office, it is time to step back and evaluate how well the forecasts performed. In this re-cap, the forecasters offer their evaluations of their predictions. Before reviewing the performance of each of the individual models, however, a few thoughts about the gen...

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Veröffentlicht in:	PS, political science & politics political science & politics, 2015-04, Vol.48 (2), p.295-300
Hauptverfasser:	Campbell, James E., Abramowitz, Alan I., Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., Wlezien, Christopher, Lewis-Beck, Michael S., Tien, Charles, Highton, Benjamin, McGhee, Eric, Sides, John
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Accuracy Congressional elections Election Forecasting Elections Legislative Bodies Midterm Elections Numbers Partisanship Politics Prediction Predictions Symposium: Evaluations of the 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts Teams United States of America
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	With the 114th Congress now sworn into office, it is time to step back and evaluate how well the forecasts performed. In this re-cap, the forecasters offer their evaluations of their predictions. Before reviewing the performance of each of the individual models, however, a few thoughts about the general performance in 2014 of the "PS" forecasts are in order.
ISSN:	1049-0965 1537-5935
DOI:	10.1017/S1049096514002327