A computational framework for dynamic data-driven material damage control, based on Bayesian inference and model selection

SummaryIn the present study, a general dynamic data‐driven application system (DDDAS) is developed for real‐time monitoring of damage in composite materials using methods and models that account for uncertainty in experimental data, model parameters, and in the selection of the model itself. The methodology involves (i) data data from uniaxial tensile experiments conducted on a composite material; (ii) continuum damage mechanics based material constitutive models; (iii) a Bayesian framework for uncertainty quantification, calibration, validation, and selection of models; and (iv) general Bayesian filtering, as well as Kalman and extended Kalman filters. A software infrastructure is developed and implemented in order to integrate the various parts of the DDDAS. The outcomes of computational analyses using the experimental data prove the feasibility of the Bayesian‐based methods for model calibration, validation, and selection. Moreover, using such DDDAS infrastructure for real‐time monitoring of the damage and degradation in materials results in results in an improved prediction of failure in the system. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.