Methodology for establishing the routes for transportation of dangerous goods on the basis of the risk level - Case study: City of Belgrade

This paper contains presentation of methodology, that is, the steps which have to be taken in order to establish the routes for transportation of dangerous goods. The methodology is developed by the authors of the paper, while the selection of routes for transportation of dangerous goods is based on determination of the extent of risk. The model used for determining the risk level for the selection of routes is the work of Canadian authors, and it is modified and adjusted to the local conditions - City of Belgrade. In other words, the weightings of parameters which influence the probability of occurrence of incident situation and the extent of consequences are established on the basis of the experts' survey. For the defined serviced area, the territory of the City of Belgrade, the selection of routes is made on the basis of research of features of oil and oil derivates transport demands in 2007, by means of the defined methodology, and its results are presented in the last item of the paper.