Medicare Claims Versus Beneficiary Self-Report for Influenza Vaccination Surveillance

Background Although self-reported influenza vaccination status is routinely used in surveillance to estimate influenza vaccine coverage, Medicare data are becoming a promising resource for influenza surveillance to inform vaccination program management and planning. Purpose To evaluate the concordance between self-reported influenza vaccination and influenza vaccination claims among Medicare beneficiaries. Methods This study compared influenza vaccination based upon Medicare claims and self-report among a sample of Medicare beneficiaries (N=9,378) from the 2011 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey, which was the most recent year of data at the time of analysis (summer 2013). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were calculated using self-reported data as the referent standard. Logistic regression was used to compute the marginal mean proportions for whether a Medicare influenza vaccination claim was present among beneficiaries who reported receiving the vaccination. Results Influenza vaccination was higher for self-report (69.4%) than Medicare claims (48.3%). For Medicare claims, sensitivity=67.5%, specificity=96.3%, positive predictive value=97.6%, and negative predictive value=56.7%. Among beneficiaries reporting receiving an influenza vaccination, the percentage of beneficiaries with a vaccination claim was lower for beneficiaries who were aged