Regional flood frequency analysis at the global scale
The characterization of flood behavior in data poor regions has been receiving considerable attention in recent years. In this context, we present the results of regional flood frequency analyses (RFFA) conducted using a global database of discharge data. A hybrid‐clustering approach is used in conj...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Water resources research 2015-01, Vol.51 (1), p.539-553 |
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description | The characterization of flood behavior in data poor regions has been receiving considerable attention in recent years. In this context, we present the results of regional flood frequency analyses (RFFA) conducted using a global database of discharge data. A hybrid‐clustering approach is used in conjunction with a flood‐index methodology to provide a regionalized discharge estimates with global coverage. The procedures are implemented with varying complexity, with results indicating that catchment area and average annual rainfall explain the bulk of variability in flood frequency; a split‐sample validation procedure revealed median errors in the estimation of the 100 year flood to be around 56%. However, far larger errors were also found, with performance varying between climate regions and estimation of the index‐flood found to be the dominant source of uncertainty. Moreover, the RFFA procedure is utilized to provide insights on the statistical characteristics of floods across different climates and catchments.
Key Points:
Regional flood frequency analysis applied at the global scale
Distinct patterns in flood behavior between different climates and catchments
Validation of RFFA at the global scale |
doi_str_mv | 10.1002/2014WR015814 |
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Key Points:
Regional flood frequency analysis applied at the global scale
Distinct patterns in flood behavior between different climates and catchments
Validation of RFFA at the global scale</description><identifier>ISSN: 0043-1397</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1944-7973</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/2014WR015814</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Washington: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>Catchment areas ; Flood frequency ; Flooding ; Floods ; Frequency analysis ; Large scale modelling ; Regional flood frequency analysis</subject><ispartof>Water resources research, 2015-01, Vol.51 (1), p.539-553</ispartof><rights>2014. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.</rights><rights>2015. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-a5413-415587b42ac02db0767f94c37ae853ea17c21b81c9b539e4a29e8299e94fdae93</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-a5413-415587b42ac02db0767f94c37ae853ea17c21b81c9b539e4a29e8299e94fdae93</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2F2014WR015814$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2F2014WR015814$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,11493,27901,27902,45550,45551,46443,46867</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Smith, Andrew</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sampson, Christopher</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bates, Paul</creatorcontrib><title>Regional flood frequency analysis at the global scale</title><title>Water resources research</title><addtitle>Water Resour. Res</addtitle><description>The characterization of flood behavior in data poor regions has been receiving considerable attention in recent years. In this context, we present the results of regional flood frequency analyses (RFFA) conducted using a global database of discharge data. A hybrid‐clustering approach is used in conjunction with a flood‐index methodology to provide a regionalized discharge estimates with global coverage. The procedures are implemented with varying complexity, with results indicating that catchment area and average annual rainfall explain the bulk of variability in flood frequency; a split‐sample validation procedure revealed median errors in the estimation of the 100 year flood to be around 56%. However, far larger errors were also found, with performance varying between climate regions and estimation of the index‐flood found to be the dominant source of uncertainty. Moreover, the RFFA procedure is utilized to provide insights on the statistical characteristics of floods across different climates and catchments.
Key Points:
Regional flood frequency analysis applied at the global scale
Distinct patterns in flood behavior between different climates and catchments
Validation of RFFA at the global scale</description><subject>Catchment areas</subject><subject>Flood frequency</subject><subject>Flooding</subject><subject>Floods</subject><subject>Frequency analysis</subject><subject>Large scale modelling</subject><subject>Regional flood frequency analysis</subject><issn>0043-1397</issn><issn>1944-7973</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2015</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp90E1Lw0AQBuBFFKzVmz8g4MWD0Z39yO4eJdhWKCpBqbdlk05qatrUbIrm37tSEfHgaWB43mFmCDkFegmUsitGQcwyClKD2CMDMELEyii-TwaUCh4DN-qQHHm_pEHKRA2IzHBRNWtXR2XdNPOobPFti-uij1xo9r7ykeui7gWjRd3kgfnC1XhMDkpXezz5rkPyNLp5TCfx9H58m15PYycF8FiAlFrlgrmCsnlOVaJKIwquHGrJ0YEqGOQaCpNLblA4ZlAzY9CIcu7Q8CE5383dtE1Yy3d2VfkC69qtsdl6C0kiwCSaykDP_tBls23DDV9KSqGMZiKoi50q2sb7Fku7aauVa3sL1H790P7-YeB8x9-rGvt_rZ1lacaAGR5S8S5V-Q4_flKufbWJ4kra2d3YavYwgnTybCf8E70Vf3M</recordid><startdate>201501</startdate><enddate>201501</enddate><creator>Smith, Andrew</creator><creator>Sampson, Christopher</creator><creator>Bates, Paul</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><general>John Wiley & Sons, Inc</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QH</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7T7</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>P64</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201501</creationdate><title>Regional flood frequency analysis at the global scale</title><author>Smith, Andrew ; Sampson, Christopher ; Bates, Paul</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-a5413-415587b42ac02db0767f94c37ae853ea17c21b81c9b539e4a29e8299e94fdae93</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2015</creationdate><topic>Catchment areas</topic><topic>Flood frequency</topic><topic>Flooding</topic><topic>Floods</topic><topic>Frequency analysis</topic><topic>Large scale modelling</topic><topic>Regional flood frequency analysis</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Smith, Andrew</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sampson, Christopher</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bates, Paul</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Aqualine</collection><collection>Bacteriology Abstracts (Microbiology B)</collection><collection>Industrial and Applied Microbiology Abstracts (Microbiology A)</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C)</collection><collection>Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Water resources research</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Smith, Andrew</au><au>Sampson, Christopher</au><au>Bates, Paul</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Regional flood frequency analysis at the global scale</atitle><jtitle>Water resources research</jtitle><addtitle>Water Resour. Res</addtitle><date>2015-01</date><risdate>2015</risdate><volume>51</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>539</spage><epage>553</epage><pages>539-553</pages><issn>0043-1397</issn><eissn>1944-7973</eissn><abstract>The characterization of flood behavior in data poor regions has been receiving considerable attention in recent years. In this context, we present the results of regional flood frequency analyses (RFFA) conducted using a global database of discharge data. A hybrid‐clustering approach is used in conjunction with a flood‐index methodology to provide a regionalized discharge estimates with global coverage. The procedures are implemented with varying complexity, with results indicating that catchment area and average annual rainfall explain the bulk of variability in flood frequency; a split‐sample validation procedure revealed median errors in the estimation of the 100 year flood to be around 56%. However, far larger errors were also found, with performance varying between climate regions and estimation of the index‐flood found to be the dominant source of uncertainty. Moreover, the RFFA procedure is utilized to provide insights on the statistical characteristics of floods across different climates and catchments.
Key Points:
Regional flood frequency analysis applied at the global scale
Distinct patterns in flood behavior between different climates and catchments
Validation of RFFA at the global scale</abstract><cop>Washington</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1002/2014WR015814</doi><tpages>15</tpages></addata></record> |
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source | Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Wiley Online Library AGU Free Content; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals |
subjects | Catchment areas Flood frequency Flooding Floods Frequency analysis Large scale modelling Regional flood frequency analysis |
title | Regional flood frequency analysis at the global scale |
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