Regional flood frequency analysis at the global scale

The characterization of flood behavior in data poor regions has been receiving considerable attention in recent years. In this context, we present the results of regional flood frequency analyses (RFFA) conducted using a global database of discharge data. A hybrid‐clustering approach is used in conj...

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Veröffentlicht in:Water resources research 2015-01, Vol.51 (1), p.539-553
Hauptverfasser: Smith, Andrew, Sampson, Christopher, Bates, Paul
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:The characterization of flood behavior in data poor regions has been receiving considerable attention in recent years. In this context, we present the results of regional flood frequency analyses (RFFA) conducted using a global database of discharge data. A hybrid‐clustering approach is used in conjunction with a flood‐index methodology to provide a regionalized discharge estimates with global coverage. The procedures are implemented with varying complexity, with results indicating that catchment area and average annual rainfall explain the bulk of variability in flood frequency; a split‐sample validation procedure revealed median errors in the estimation of the 100 year flood to be around 56%. However, far larger errors were also found, with performance varying between climate regions and estimation of the index‐flood found to be the dominant source of uncertainty. Moreover, the RFFA procedure is utilized to provide insights on the statistical characteristics of floods across different climates and catchments. Key Points: Regional flood frequency analysis applied at the global scale Distinct patterns in flood behavior between different climates and catchments Validation of RFFA at the global scale
ISSN:0043-1397
1944-7973
DOI:10.1002/2014WR015814