Meta-analysis on the Performance of the EuroSCORE II and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Scores in Patients Undergoing Aortic Valve Replacement

Objective To evaluate the performance of the EuroSCORE II (ESII) and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) scores in surgical (SAVR) or transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Design Systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis. Setting University hospitals. Participants Studies reporting data on the performance of ESII and STS scores in patients undergoing SAVR or TAVR. Interventions SAVR or TAVR. Measurements and Main Results Ten studies validated these scores in 13,856 patients who underwent either TAVR or SAVR. Operative mortality was 5.9% (SAVR 3.1%; TAVR 9.6%). ESII-expected mortality was 5.1% (O/E ratio: 1.15, SAVR, O/E ratio 0.94; TAVR, O/E ratio 1.23) and STS-expected mortality was 6.3% (O/E ratio: 0.94, SAVR, O/E ratio 0.84; TAVR, O/E ratio 1.13). The area under the ROC curve for ESII was 0.70 and for STS was 0.70 (SAVR patients: 0.73 for ESII and 0.75 for STS; TAVR patients; 0.66 for ESII and 0.63 for STS). The difference between observed/expected mortality was not significant for ESII (Peto’s OR 0.99, p = 0.88) and was significant for STS (Peto’s OR 0.86, p = 0.008). ESII (Peto’s OR 1.35, p