Population-Based Study of Blood Biomarkers in Prediction of Subacute Recurrent Stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE—Risk of recurrent stroke is high in the first few weeks after transient ischemic attack or stroke and clinical risk prediction tools have only limited accuracy, particularly after the hyperacute phase. Previous studies of the predictive value of biomarkers have been small, been done in selected populations, and have not concentrated on the acute phase or on intensively treated populations. We aimed to determine the predictive value of a panel of blood biomarkers in intensively treated patients early after transient ischemic attack and stroke. METHODS—We studied 14 blood biomarkers related to inflammation, thrombosis, atherogenesis, and cardiac or neuronal cell damage in early transient ischemic attack or ischemic stroke in a population-based study (Oxford Vascular Study). Biomarker levels were related to 90-day risk of recurrent stroke as hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) per decile increase, adjusted for age and sex. RESULTS—Among 1292 eligible patients, there were 53 recurrent ischemic strokes within 90 days. There were moderate correlations (r=0.40–0.61; P