The Response of Equity Prices to Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates Associated with Monetary Policy Statements: Before and After the Zero Lower Bound

Monetary policy actions since 2008 have influenced long-term interest rates through forward guidance and quantitative easing. I propose a strategy to identify the comovement between interest rate and equity price movements induced by monetary policy when an observable representing policy changes is...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of money, credit and banking credit and banking, 2014-08, Vol.46 (5), p.1057-1071
1. Verfasser: KILEY, MICHAEL T.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Monetary policy actions since 2008 have influenced long-term interest rates through forward guidance and quantitative easing. I propose a strategy to identify the comovement between interest rate and equity price movements induced by monetary policy when an observable representing policy changes is not available. A decline in long-term interest rates induced by monetary policy statements has a larger positive effect on equity prices prior to 2009 than in the subsequent period. This change appears to reflect the impact of the zero lower bound on short-term interest rates.
ISSN:0022-2879
1538-4616
DOI:10.1111/jmcb.12129