Does Turkey's integration into the European Union boost its agricultural exports?

The impact of Turkey's full integration into the European Union (EU) on its agricultural exports is estimated by employing an extended gravity model that utilizes tariff levels as a policy variable. The findings of the specified model indicate that conventional economic mass variables such as income and population facilitate bilateral trade, whereas distance and protection levels have an impeding impact on Turkey's agricultural trade flow. The simulation results suggest that Turkey's full accession into the EU yields only moderate gains in its agricultural exports. [EconLit citations: F10; C01; Q17]. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.