An experimental investigation of two Wavelet-MLP hybrid frameworks for wind speed prediction using GA and PSO optimization

[Display omitted] •Two frameworks [Wavelet-GA/PSO-MLP] are proposed to predict wind speed.•The contribution of the GA component is not statistically significantly.•The contribution of the PSO component is not statistically significantly.•The Wavelet component improves the performance of the MLP sign...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:International journal of electrical power & energy systems 2013-11, Vol.52, p.161-173
Hauptverfasser: Liu, Hui, Tian, Hong-qi, Chen, Chao, Li, Yan-fei
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:[Display omitted] •Two frameworks [Wavelet-GA/PSO-MLP] are proposed to predict wind speed.•The contribution of the GA component is not statistically significantly.•The contribution of the PSO component is not statistically significantly.•The Wavelet component improves the performance of the MLP significantly.•The two frameworks are both suitable for the wind speed predictions. Wind speed series show unsteady and nonlinear phenomena. The accurate forecast of wind speed is important for the safety of renewable energy utilization. Compared to the prediction models which use single algorithms, hybrid models always have higher accuracy. Based on the theories of Wavelet, classical time series analysis, genetic algorithm, particle swarm optimization and artificial neural networks, two hybrid forecasting frameworks [the Wavelet-Genetic Algorithm (GA)-Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and the Wavelet-Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)-Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)] are proposed to predict non-stationary wind speeds. Comparisons of forecasting performance using different algorithm combinations are provided to investigate the contribution of different components in those two hybrid frameworks. The results based on three experimental cases show that: (1) both of the two proposed hybrid forecasting frameworks are suitable for the diverse accuracy requirements in wind speed predictions, which can be applied to wind power systems; and (2) in both of the two hybrid frameworks, the contribution of the GA and the PSO components in improving the MLP are not statistically significant while that of the Wavelet component is statistically significant.
ISSN:0142-0615
1879-3517
DOI:10.1016/j.ijepes.2013.03.034