Precipitation-Induced Alternative Regime Switches in Shallow Lakes of the Boreal Plains (Alberta, Canada)

This study focused on unraveling the natural mechanism for the frequent shifts in alternative regimes in pristine shallow lakes of the Boreal Plains, Alberta, Canada. The lakes tend to be clear and dominated by submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) or turbid and dominated by phytoplankton. We report on the inter-annual response of 23 lakes from 2001 to 2007. We explore the effect of fluctuations in annual precipitation on the lake response including water depth, total phosphorus (TP) concentration, turbidity, phytoplankton biomass, SAV biomass, and the proportion of clear and turbid lakes. The regime switches appear driven by the transient dynamics of phytoplankton, and dilution of nutrients, phytoplankton biomass, and turbidity during wet years, and evapoconcentration during dry years. Increased precipitation was correlated with decreased phytoplankton biomass, TP concentration, chloride concentration, and turbidity. In 2005, the wettest year, no phytoplankton-dominated lakes were observed. During the driest year (2002), the phytoplankton-dominant regime (>18 μg chl-a L⁻¹) occurred in 22% of lakes, which was higher than the study period average. SAV biomass was not directly affected by precipitation, but was negatively associated with phytoplankton biomass and positively associated with the previous year’s SAV growth. SAV biomass was carried over from year-to-year, and the occurrence of SAV-dominated (>25% cover) lakes was significantly higher in 2007 (90%) following 3 years of high precipitation levels.