Outcomes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: A meta-analysis from placebo controlled trials

Summary Background Most data on outcomes in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) pre-dates current guidelines. Data on rates of infection is sparse; the effect of low-dose corticosteroids and disease severity is unknown. Methods We identified randomised-controlled trials of IPF and analysed rates of mortality, lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs), IPF progression and acute exacerbations from the placebo arms. We standardised event rates and compared differences using incidence rate ratios (IRRs) between subgroups according to disease severity or use of low-dose immunosuppression. Results Mortality was lower in trials that recruited patients with mild-moderate disease severities only, as compared to trials where patients with severe disease were allowed (188.6 vs 78.6 deaths per 1000 patient/years, IRR 0.30–0.59, p