The dividend month premium

We find an asset pricing anomaly whereby companies have positive abnormal returns in months when they are predicted to issue a dividend. Abnormal returns in predicted dividend months are high relative to other companies and relative to dividend-paying companies in months without a predicted dividend...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of financial economics 2013-09, Vol.109 (3), p.640-660
Hauptverfasser: Hartzmark, Samuel M., Solomon, David H.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We find an asset pricing anomaly whereby companies have positive abnormal returns in months when they are predicted to issue a dividend. Abnormal returns in predicted dividend months are high relative to other companies and relative to dividend-paying companies in months without a predicted dividend, making risk-based explanations unlikely. The anomaly is as large as the value premium, but less volatile. The premium is consistent with price pressure from dividend-seeking investors. Measures of liquidity and demand for dividends are associated with larger price increases in the period before the ex-day (when there is no news about the dividend) and larger reversals afterward.
ISSN:0304-405X
1879-2774
DOI:10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.02.015