The Economic Outlook for Russia in 2012-2014

The Economic Outlook for Russia in 2012-2014

The article discusses the grounds for three alternative forecasts of Russian economic development in 2012-14: a base version (moderately optimistic), a pessimistic one, and a moderately pessimistic one. Results of calculations using econometric methods and a dynamic input-output model of the Russian...

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Veröffentlicht in:Problems of economic transition 2013-05, Vol.56 (1), p.6-21
Hauptverfasser: Baranov, A. O., Gil'mundinov, V. M., Pavlov, V. N., Tagaeva, T. O.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Econometric models
Econometrics
Economic development
Economic forecasts
Forecasting techniques
Forecasts
Russia
Studies
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:The article discusses the grounds for three alternative forecasts of Russian economic development in 2012-14: a base version (moderately optimistic), a pessimistic one, and a moderately pessimistic one. Results of calculations using econometric methods and a dynamic input-output model of the Russian economy are given and analyzed at the macro- and sectoral levels.
ISSN:1061-1991
1557-931X
DOI:10.2753/PET1061-1991560101