Effects of the Bam earthquake on employment: a shift-share analysis
Disasters have potential short‐term and long‐term impacts on employment and employment structures in affected regions. While measuring the full economic impact of a disaster requires sophisticated econometrics and mathematical simulations, conventional regional economic models such as shift‐share an...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Disasters 2012-07, Vol.36 (3), p.420-438 |
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creator | Mehregan, Nader Asgary, Ali Rezaei, Rouhollah |
description | Disasters have potential short‐term and long‐term impacts on employment and employment structures in affected regions. While measuring the full economic impact of a disaster requires sophisticated econometrics and mathematical simulations, conventional regional economic models such as shift‐share analysis can be used to assess some of these effects. This paper applies shift‐share analysis to understand potential long‐term impacts of disasters on employment using the December 2003 Bam earthquake as a case study. The results provide further evidence that disasters could have significant long‐term effects on the employment structure of affected regions. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1467-7717.2011.01268.x |
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While measuring the full economic impact of a disaster requires sophisticated econometrics and mathematical simulations, conventional regional economic models such as shift‐share analysis can be used to assess some of these effects. This paper applies shift‐share analysis to understand potential long‐term impacts of disasters on employment using the December 2003 Bam earthquake as a case study. The results provide further evidence that disasters could have significant long‐term effects on the employment structure of affected regions.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0361-3666</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1467-7717</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-7717.2011.01268.x</identifier><identifier>PMID: 22092525</identifier><identifier>CODEN: DISADE</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford, UK: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>Accidents ; Analysis ; Bam earthquake ; Case studies ; Computer simulation ; disaster impacts ; Disasters ; Disasters - economics ; Earthquakes ; Earthquakes - economics ; Econometric models ; Econometrics ; Economic analysis ; Economic conditions ; Economic impact ; Economic impact analysis ; Economic Models ; Employment ; Employment - statistics & numerical data ; Employment - trends ; employment changes ; Humans ; Impact analysis ; Iran ; Long-term effects ; Mathematical models ; Models, Economic ; Natural disasters ; Regional analysis ; Regional development ; Regions ; Seismic activity ; Seismic phenomena ; shift-share analysis ; Simulation ; Studies ; Time</subject><ispartof>Disasters, 2012-07, Vol.36 (3), p.420-438</ispartof><rights>2012 The Author(s). Journal compilation © Overseas Development Institute, 2012</rights><rights>2012 The Author(s). Journal compilation © Overseas Development Institute, 2012.</rights><rights>Copyright Blackwell Publishing Ltd. 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While measuring the full economic impact of a disaster requires sophisticated econometrics and mathematical simulations, conventional regional economic models such as shift‐share analysis can be used to assess some of these effects. This paper applies shift‐share analysis to understand potential long‐term impacts of disasters on employment using the December 2003 Bam earthquake as a case study. The results provide further evidence that disasters could have significant long‐term effects on the employment structure of affected regions.</description><subject>Accidents</subject><subject>Analysis</subject><subject>Bam earthquake</subject><subject>Case studies</subject><subject>Computer simulation</subject><subject>disaster impacts</subject><subject>Disasters</subject><subject>Disasters - economics</subject><subject>Earthquakes</subject><subject>Earthquakes - economics</subject><subject>Econometric models</subject><subject>Econometrics</subject><subject>Economic analysis</subject><subject>Economic conditions</subject><subject>Economic impact</subject><subject>Economic impact analysis</subject><subject>Economic Models</subject><subject>Employment</subject><subject>Employment - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Employment - trends</subject><subject>employment changes</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Impact analysis</subject><subject>Iran</subject><subject>Long-term effects</subject><subject>Mathematical models</subject><subject>Models, Economic</subject><subject>Natural disasters</subject><subject>Regional analysis</subject><subject>Regional development</subject><subject>Regions</subject><subject>Seismic activity</subject><subject>Seismic phenomena</subject><subject>shift-share analysis</subject><subject>Simulation</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Time</subject><issn>0361-3666</issn><issn>1467-7717</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2012</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>7TQ</sourceid><sourceid>BHHNA</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkstu1DAUhi1ERYfCKyBLbNgkHF_iCwukdmhLpaosykViYzmOrck0mUztRMy8PQkzzKKbjjfHkr_z-1x-hDCBnIzn4zInXMhMSiJzCoTkQKhQ-eYFmh0eXqIZMEEyJoQ4Ra9TWgIAZUy_QqeUgqYFLWZofhmCd33CXcD9wuML22JvY794HOyDx90K-3bddNvWr_pP2OK0qEOfpYWNHtuVbbapTm_QSbBN8m_38Qz9uLr8Pv-a3X67vpmf32ZOKK6yqlBOBxe80EQ4L0tKHJUlY4IxBpxVkkDQleCWlq5UWmsuHOGMA1SOEcXO0Ied7jp2j4NPvWnr5HzT2JXvhmQIKQhwwgQ_Ah3bJ2oc0_MoMDUWIzUcgVIFtNAgjkFBUSnVVOv7J-iyG-I4272glopOlNpRLnYpRR_MOtatjdsRMpMpzNJMuzfT7s1kCvPPFGYzpr7bfzCUra8Oif9dMAKfd8CfuvHbo4XNl5v78-k6CmQ7gTr1fnMQsPHBCMlkYX7dXRtFr9hPKH6be_YXBbzPig</recordid><startdate>201207</startdate><enddate>201207</enddate><creator>Mehregan, Nader</creator><creator>Asgary, Ali</creator><creator>Rezaei, Rouhollah</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T2</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7TN</scope><scope>7TQ</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>DHY</scope><scope>DON</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H97</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>7U4</scope><scope>BHHNA</scope><scope>DWI</scope><scope>WZK</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201207</creationdate><title>Effects of the Bam earthquake on employment: a shift-share analysis</title><author>Mehregan, Nader ; Asgary, Ali ; Rezaei, Rouhollah</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c6848-d58c9fcfe6916ce7b21c27b336333043d710f9d64a2bcb899946c143400dc3183</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2012</creationdate><topic>Accidents</topic><topic>Analysis</topic><topic>Bam earthquake</topic><topic>Case studies</topic><topic>Computer simulation</topic><topic>disaster impacts</topic><topic>Disasters</topic><topic>Disasters - economics</topic><topic>Earthquakes</topic><topic>Earthquakes - economics</topic><topic>Econometric models</topic><topic>Econometrics</topic><topic>Economic analysis</topic><topic>Economic conditions</topic><topic>Economic impact</topic><topic>Economic impact analysis</topic><topic>Economic Models</topic><topic>Employment</topic><topic>Employment - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Employment - trends</topic><topic>employment changes</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Impact analysis</topic><topic>Iran</topic><topic>Long-term effects</topic><topic>Mathematical models</topic><topic>Models, Economic</topic><topic>Natural disasters</topic><topic>Regional analysis</topic><topic>Regional development</topic><topic>Regions</topic><topic>Seismic activity</topic><topic>Seismic phenomena</topic><topic>shift-share analysis</topic><topic>Simulation</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Time</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Mehregan, Nader</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Asgary, Ali</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rezaei, Rouhollah</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Health and Safety Science Abstracts (Full archive)</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Oceanic Abstracts</collection><collection>PAIS Index</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>PAIS International</collection><collection>PAIS International (Ovid)</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 3: Aquatic Pollution & Environmental Quality</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017)</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (Ovid)</collection><jtitle>Disasters</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Mehregan, Nader</au><au>Asgary, Ali</au><au>Rezaei, Rouhollah</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Effects of the Bam earthquake on employment: a shift-share analysis</atitle><jtitle>Disasters</jtitle><addtitle>Disasters</addtitle><date>2012-07</date><risdate>2012</risdate><volume>36</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>420</spage><epage>438</epage><pages>420-438</pages><issn>0361-3666</issn><eissn>1467-7717</eissn><coden>DISADE</coden><abstract>Disasters have potential short‐term and long‐term impacts on employment and employment structures in affected regions. 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subjects | Accidents Analysis Bam earthquake Case studies Computer simulation disaster impacts Disasters Disasters - economics Earthquakes Earthquakes - economics Econometric models Econometrics Economic analysis Economic conditions Economic impact Economic impact analysis Economic Models Employment Employment - statistics & numerical data Employment - trends employment changes Humans Impact analysis Iran Long-term effects Mathematical models Models, Economic Natural disasters Regional analysis Regional development Regions Seismic activity Seismic phenomena shift-share analysis Simulation Studies Time |
title | Effects of the Bam earthquake on employment: a shift-share analysis |
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