A peculiar prevalence of p values just below .05

In null hypothesis significance testing (NHST), p values are judged relative to an arbitrary threshold for significance (.05). The present work examined whether that standard influences the distribution of p values reported in the psychology literature. We examined a large subset of papers from thre...

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Veröffentlicht in:Quarterly journal of experimental psychology (2006) 2012-11, Vol.65 (11), p.2271-2279
Hauptverfasser: Masicampo, E. J., Lalande, Daniel R.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In null hypothesis significance testing (NHST), p values are judged relative to an arbitrary threshold for significance (.05). The present work examined whether that standard influences the distribution of p values reported in the psychology literature. We examined a large subset of papers from three highly regarded journals. Distributions of p were found to be similar across the different journals. Moreover, p values were much more common immediately below .05 than would be expected based on the number of p values occurring in other ranges. This prevalence of p values just below the arbitrary criterion for significance was observed in all three journals. We discuss potential sources of this pattern, including publication bias and researcher degrees of freedom.
ISSN:1747-0218
1747-0226
DOI:10.1080/17470218.2012.711335