The Cyclical Sensitivity of Regional Unemployment: An Assessment

BYERS J. D. (1990) The cyclical sensitivity of regional unemployment: an assessment, Reg. Studies 24, 447-453. The slope coefficient obtained by regressing a regional unemployment rate on the national rate is often interpreted as a measure of the sensitivity of the regional economy to cyclical shock...

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description BYERS J. D. (1990) The cyclical sensitivity of regional unemployment: an assessment, Reg. Studies 24, 447-453. The slope coefficient obtained by regressing a regional unemployment rate on the national rate is often interpreted as a measure of the sensitivity of the regional economy to cyclical shocks in the national economy. This paper discusses the procedures used to estimate 'cyclical sensitivity' employing recent developments in econometric modelling of time series. It is suggested the OLS regressions actually reveal the equilibrium relationship between the two, rather than the cyclical relationship. BYERS J. D. (1990) La sensibilité cyclique du chômage régionale: une évaluation: Reg. Studies 24, 447-453. Le coefficient de la pente calculé à partir d'une régression du taux de chômage régional par rapport au taux national est souvent interprété comme mesure de la sensibilité de l'économie régionale aux chocs cycliques dans l'économie nationale. Cet article discute des démarches suivies afin d'évaluer la 'sensibilité cyclique' utilisant les derniers développements dans la modélisation économétrique des données en série temporelle. On suggère que la méthode des moindres carrés montre le rapport d'équilibre plutôt que le rapport cyclique. BYERS J. D. (1990) Die konjunkturrhythmische Empfindlichkeit regionaler Arbeitslosigkeit Ein Gutachten, Reg. Studies 24, 447-453. Der Neigungskoeffizient, den man bei einer Regression der regionalen Arbeitslosigkeitsrate im Gegensatz zur nationalen Rate erhält, wird oft als ein Mass der Empfindlichkeit der regionalen Wirtschaft gegenüber konjunkturrhythmischen Schocks in der Gesamtwirtschaft des Landes interpretiert. Dieser Aufsatz diskutiert Verfahren, die bei der Schätzung konjunkturrhythmischer Empfindlichkeit angewandt werden, wobei jüngste Entwicklungen in der Erstellung von ökonometrischen Modellen von Zeitserien benutzt werden. Manches deutet darauf hin, dass die OLS-Regressionen statt einer konjunkturrhythmischen Beziehung eigentlich eine Beziehung des Gleichgewichts zwischen den beiden aufzeigen.
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Le coefficient de la pente calculé à partir d'une régression du taux de chômage régional par rapport au taux national est souvent interprété comme mesure de la sensibilité de l'économie régionale aux chocs cycliques dans l'économie nationale. Cet article discute des démarches suivies afin d'évaluer la 'sensibilité cyclique' utilisant les derniers développements dans la modélisation économétrique des données en série temporelle. On suggère que la méthode des moindres carrés montre le rapport d'équilibre plutôt que le rapport cyclique. BYERS J. D. (1990) Die konjunkturrhythmische Empfindlichkeit regionaler Arbeitslosigkeit Ein Gutachten, Reg. Studies 24, 447-453. Der Neigungskoeffizient, den man bei einer Regression der regionalen Arbeitslosigkeitsrate im Gegensatz zur nationalen Rate erhält, wird oft als ein Mass der Empfindlichkeit der regionalen Wirtschaft gegenüber konjunkturrhythmischen Schocks in der Gesamtwirtschaft des Landes interpretiert. 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Le coefficient de la pente calculé à partir d'une régression du taux de chômage régional par rapport au taux national est souvent interprété comme mesure de la sensibilité de l'économie régionale aux chocs cycliques dans l'économie nationale. Cet article discute des démarches suivies afin d'évaluer la 'sensibilité cyclique' utilisant les derniers développements dans la modélisation économétrique des données en série temporelle. On suggère que la méthode des moindres carrés montre le rapport d'équilibre plutôt que le rapport cyclique. BYERS J. D. (1990) Die konjunkturrhythmische Empfindlichkeit regionaler Arbeitslosigkeit Ein Gutachten, Reg. Studies 24, 447-453. Der Neigungskoeffizient, den man bei einer Regression der regionalen Arbeitslosigkeitsrate im Gegensatz zur nationalen Rate erhält, wird oft als ein Mass der Empfindlichkeit der regionalen Wirtschaft gegenüber konjunkturrhythmischen Schocks in der Gesamtwirtschaft des Landes interpretiert. 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D.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The Cyclical Sensitivity of Regional Unemployment: An Assessment</atitle><jtitle>Regional studies</jtitle><date>1990-10-01</date><risdate>1990</risdate><volume>24</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>447</spage><epage>453</epage><pages>447-453</pages><issn>0034-3404</issn><eissn>1360-0591</eissn><abstract>BYERS J. D. (1990) The cyclical sensitivity of regional unemployment: an assessment, Reg. Studies 24, 447-453. The slope coefficient obtained by regressing a regional unemployment rate on the national rate is often interpreted as a measure of the sensitivity of the regional economy to cyclical shocks in the national economy. This paper discusses the procedures used to estimate 'cyclical sensitivity' employing recent developments in econometric modelling of time series. It is suggested the OLS regressions actually reveal the equilibrium relationship between the two, rather than the cyclical relationship. 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subjects Bgi / Prodig
Chômage régional
Cointegrated variables
Cyclical sensitivity
Employment. Labour
Human geography
Ko-integrierte Veränderliche
Konjunkturrhythmische Empfindlichkeit
Political and economic geography
Regional unemployment
Regionale Arbeitslosigkeit
Sensibilité cyclique
Unemployment
Variables cointégrées
title The Cyclical Sensitivity of Regional Unemployment: An Assessment
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