Bring digital twins back to Earth

We reflect on the development of digital twins of the Earth, which we associate with a reductionist view of nature as a machine. The projects of digital twins deviate from contemporary scientific paradigms in the treatment of complexity and uncertainty, and does not engage with critical and interpre...

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Veröffentlicht in:Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change 2024-11, Vol.15 (6), p.e915-n/a
Hauptverfasser: Saltelli, Andrea, Gigerenzer, Gerd, Hulme, Mike, Katsikopoulos, Konstantinos V., Melsen, Lieke A., Peters, Glen P., Pielke, Roger, Robertson, Simon, Stirling, Andy, Tavoni, Massimo, Puy, Arnald
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We reflect on the development of digital twins of the Earth, which we associate with a reductionist view of nature as a machine. The projects of digital twins deviate from contemporary scientific paradigms in the treatment of complexity and uncertainty, and does not engage with critical and interpretative social sciences. We contest the utility of digital twins for addressing climate change issues and discuss societal risks associated with the concept, including the twins' potential to reinforce economicism and governance by numbers, emphasizing concerns about democratic accountability. We propose a more balanced alternative, advocating for independent institutions to develop diverse models, prioritize communication with simple heuristic‐based models, collect comprehensive data from various sources, including traditional knowledge, and shift focus away from physics‐centered variables to inform climate action. We argue that the advancement of digital twins should hinge on stringent controls, favoring a nuanced, interdisciplinary, and democratic approach that prioritizes societal well‐being over blind pursuit of computational sophistication. This article is categorized under: Climate Models and Modeling > Earth System Models Climate Models and Modeling > Knowledge Generation with Models Climate, History, Society, Culture > Disciplinary Perspectives “Digital ecosystems,” “evolutionary development,” “data lakes,” and “digital species”; a repertoire of nature‐based metaphors is deployed to justify an in‐silico replica of the Earth to feed power‐hungry computers and models. Source: Shutterstock CS‐01E99‐863A.
ISSN:1757-7780
1757-7799
DOI:10.1002/wcc.915