Application of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Network for seasonal prediction of monthly rainfall across Vietnam

Seasonal rainfall forecasting is important for water resources management, agriculture, and disaster prevention. Our study aims to provide an automated deep learning method for the seasonal prediction of monthly rainfall at stations in seven climatic sub-regions in Vietnam with lead times of up to 6...

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Veröffentlicht in:Earth science informatics 2024-10, Vol.17 (5), p.3925-3944
Hauptverfasser: Nguyen-Duc, Phu, Nguyen, Huu Duy, Nguyen, Quoc-Huy, Phan-Van, Tan, Pham-Thanh, Ha
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Seasonal rainfall forecasting is important for water resources management, agriculture, and disaster prevention. Our study aims to provide an automated deep learning method for the seasonal prediction of monthly rainfall at stations in seven climatic sub-regions in Vietnam with lead times of up to 6 months. An appropriate set of predictors was selected based on numerous climate indices and neighbor station data for the period 1980–2020. We developed an adapted deep learning pipeline for both short- and long-term analysis. The predicted rainfall was verified against the observed data using mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and Pearson correlation coefficients. The results showed that our model generally captured well observed data reflected by low error (MAE and RMSE 
ISSN:1865-0473
1865-0481
DOI:10.1007/s12145-024-01414-3