PVII: A pedestrian-vehicle interactive and iterative prediction framework for pedestrian’s trajectory

Advanced Driving Assistance System (ADAS) can predict pedestrian’s trajectory, in order to avoid traffic accidents and guarantee driving safety. A few current pedestrian trajectory prediction methods use a pedestrian’s historical motion to predict the future trajectory, but the pedestrian’s trajectory is also affected by the vehicle using the ADAS for prediction (target vehicle). Other studies predict the pedestrian’s and vehicle’s trajectories separately, and use the latter to adjust the former, but their interaction is a continuous process and should be considered during prediction rather than after. Therefore, we propose PVII, a pedestrian-vehicle interactive and iterative prediction framework for pedestrian’s trajectory. It makes prediction for one iteration based on the results from previous iteration, which essentially models the vehicle-pedestrian interaction. In this iterative framework, to avoid accumulation of prediction errors along with the increased iterations, we design a bi-layer Bayesian en/decoder. For each iteration, it not only uses inaccurate results from previous iteration but also accurate historical data for prediction, and calculates Bayesian uncertainty values to evaluate the results. In addition, the pedestrian’s trajectory is affected by both target vehicle and other vehicles around it (surrounding vehicle), so we include into the framework a pre-trained speed estimation module for surrounding vehicles (SE module). It estimates the speed based on pedestrian’s motion and we collect data from pedestrian’s view for training. In experiments, PVII can achieve the highest prediction accuracy compared to the current methods.