Reliability Evaluation of Flat Car Underframe based on GSA-BP Neural Network and Probability Box

In order to improve the calculation efficiency and reduce the uncertainty in the reliability evaluation process of flat car underframe, a new method based on an improved genetic simulated annealing algorithm-back propagation neural network (GSA-BP) and probability box is proposed. Firstly, a certain type of flat car underframe is taken as the research object, genetic evolution algorithm (GA) and simulated annealing algorithm (SA) are utilized to optimize the weights and thresholds of the GSA-BP neural network and obtain the best initial parameter values. Applying the values, the BP neural network is trained, and the improved GSA-BP neural network is established which is verified by test functions. Secondly, the central plate sub-model of the flat car underframe is obtained by sub-model technology and the correctness of its boundary conditions is tested. On this basis, the static strength analysis of the sub-model is carried out. Finally, the improved GSA-BP neural network and probability box are utilized to evaluate the reliability of the sub-model of flat car underframe, and the Monte Carlo method is utilized to verify it. The results show that the proposed method not only improves the accuracy of reliability evaluation but also shortens the calculation time from 10 hours to 6 hours. The calculation efficiency is increased by 40%, which further verifies its superiority and feasibility in structural reliability evaluation.