Litmus tests of the flat \(\Lambda\)CDM model and model-independent measurement of \(H_0r_\mathrm{d}\) with LSST and DESI

In this analysis we apply a model-independent framework to test the flat \(\Lambda\)CDM cosmology using simulated SNIa data from the upcoming Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) and combined with simulated Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) five-years Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) data. We adopt an iterative smoothing technique to reconstruct the expansion history from SNIa data, which, when combined with BAO measurements, facilitates a comprehensive test of the Universe's curvature and the nature of dark energy. The analysis is conducted under three different mock true cosmologies: a flat \(\Lambda\)CDM universe, a universe with a notable curvature (\(\Omega_{k,0} = 0.1\)), and one with dynamically evolving dark energy. Each cosmology demonstrates different kinds and varying degrees of deviation from the standard model predictions. We forecast that our reconstruction technique can constrain cosmological parameters, such as the curvature (\(\Omega_{k,0}\)) and \(c/H_0 r_\mathrm{d}\), with a precision of approximately 0.5\% for \(c/H_0r_\mathrm{d}\) and 0.04 for \(\Omega_{k,0}\), competitive with current cosmic microwave background constraints, without assuming any form of dark energy.