Lob-based deep learning models for stock price trend prediction: a benchmark study

The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we de...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Artificial intelligence review 2024-04, Vol.57 (5), p.116, Article 116
Hauptverfasser: Prata, Matteo, Masi, Giuseppe, Berti, Leonardo, Arrigoni, Viviana, Coletta, Andrea, Cannistraci, Irene, Vyetrenko, Svitlana, Velardi, Paola, Bartolini, Novella
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we developed LOBCAST, an open-source framework that incorporates data preprocessing, DL model training, evaluation, and profit analysis. Our extensive experiments reveal that all models exhibit a significant performance drop when exposed to new data, thereby raising questions about their real-world market applicability. Our work serves as a benchmark, illuminating the potential and the limitations of current approaches and providing insight for innovative solutions.
ISSN:1573-7462
0269-2821
1573-7462
DOI:10.1007/s10462-024-10715-4