Characterizing the Madden–Julian Oscillation in the western Pacific Ocean from a regional coupled ocean–atmosphere model simulation
This study reports on the analysis of the results from a 20 km grid spacing, Regional Coupled ocean–atmosphere Model (RCM) integration over the Western Pacific Warm Pool (WP2). The RCM was integrated over a 20‐year period (1986–2005) using reanalysis boundary conditions for the atmosphere and the oc...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 2024-01, Vol.150 (759), p.746-762 |
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Sprache: | eng |
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Zusammenfassung: | This study reports on the analysis of the results from a 20 km grid spacing, Regional Coupled ocean–atmosphere Model (RCM) integration over the Western Pacific Warm Pool (WP2). The RCM was integrated over a 20‐year period (1986–2005) using reanalysis boundary conditions for the atmosphere and the ocean. This is a first‐of‐a‐kind study with an RCM at 20 km over the WP2. The RCM simulation shows reasonable fidelity of the mean state and of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO). We utilize this successful integration of the RCM to understand a well‐known observed feature of MJOs in the WP2 to be of the strongest amplitude during the December–March period of the year. Our analysis of the model integration reveals that the recharge of moist static energy (MSE) prior to peak MJO convection and its discharge during and after the convection explains the MJO in the simulation. The recharge/discharge of the MSE is shown to be largely dictated by horizontal advection, which is stemmed to a small extent by column‐integrated radiative heating and surface evaporation. This balance of forces in the evolution of the MSE anomalies and their corresponding variations with sea‐surface temperature (SST) anomalies at MJO time‐scales in the WP2 is strongest in the December–March period in the RCM simulation.
The regression of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) (a,b) precipitation and (c) SST anomalies averaged between 15°S and 5°S on the corresponding area‐averaged MJO precipitation anomalies over the Western Pacific Warm Pool (140°E–160°E and 15°S–5°S) from (a) IMERG and (b,c) regional spectral model‐regional ocean modelling system (RSM‐ROMS) simulation. The simulation of MJO including its seasonality in the Regional Coupled Ocean Model confirms recharge of the moist static energy prior to convection and its discharge during and after convection as it passes through the western Pacific warm pool region. |
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ISSN: | 0035-9009 1477-870X |
DOI: | 10.1002/qj.4620 |