Extreme Birkeland Currents Are More Likely During Geomagnetic Storms on the Dayside of the Earth

We examine the statistical distribution of large‐scale Birkeland currents measured by the Active Magnetosphere and Planetary Electrodynamics Response Experiment in four unique categories of geomagnetic activity for the first time: quiet times, storm times, quiet‐time substorms, and storm‐time substorms. A novel method is employed to sort data into one of these four categories, and the categorizations are provided for future research. The mean current density is largest during substorms and its standard deviation is largest during geomagnetic storms. Current densities which are above a low threshold are more likely during substorms, but extreme currents are far more likely during geomagnetic storms, consistent with a paradigm in which geomagnetic storms represent periods of enhanced variability over quiet times. We demonstrate that extreme currents are most likely to flow within the Region 2 current during geomagnetic storms. This is unexpected in a paradigm of the current systems in which Region 1 current is generally larger. Plain Language Summary We take measurements from a set of 66 spacecraft orbiting Earth to look at electric currents that flow along Earth's magnetic field lines. We look at different types of space weather called “geomagnetic storms” and “substorms,” and combine methods to detect when those types of space weather happen. We use our combined method to separate our measurements into the different types of space weather, and then we look at how strong the currents are during each type of space weather. We plot histograms of the strengths and then use those histograms to work out the underlying mathematics of the strengths: we can then plot further graphs showing how those underlying mathematics change. We then work out when the very strongest currents are likely to flow, and during which type of space weather this occurs, which is useful both for understanding the system and for mitigating against the risks of space weather. Key Points Geomagnetic storms are more likely than substorms to drive extreme field‐aligned current densities Extreme current densities are most likely on the dayside and least likely within 3 hr of midnight The highest probabilities of extreme current densities occur in Region 2 currents during geomagnetic storms