Impact of Foreign Enterprises’ Capital Inflow on Urbanization Factors: Evidence from Northeastern Cities of China

This study investigates the impact of foreign capital inflow and the number of contracted foreign direct investment projects on urbanization. The study focused on the less-explored provinces of Liaoning, Jilin, and Heilongjiang, covering the period from 2007 to 2021. The definition of urbanization was expanded to include three elements: the urbanized labor force, emission and pollution levels, and the productivity of services in the economy. Most importantly, an urbanization index was generated to estimate the total effect of foreign capital investment on sustainable green urbanization. The analysis employs both random and fixed effects regression models, complemented by robustness checks using the generalized least squares (GLS) method. The findings indicate that while foreign capital investments contribute positively to labor urbanization and service productivity, they have a notably adverse impact on environmental quality in the examined cities. Moreover, our findings confirm an overall inverse relationship between foreign capital investment and the urbanization index: the negative impact is primarily driven by inadequate procedures for emissions control in the northeastern Chinese cities. In conclusion, this research provides insights and strategic recommendations for promoting sustainable green urbanization.