The authoritarian trade‐off: A synthetic control analysis of development and social coercion in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region

The Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR) has recently experienced a series of policies seeking economic development and intensive methods of social coercion. A unique leader, Chen Quanguo, brought these changes to the XUAR in 2016. This paper seeks to examine the effects of Chen's regime. W...

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Veröffentlicht in:Contemporary economic policy 2023-04, Vol.41 (2), p.370-387
Hauptverfasser: Peng, Linan, Callais, Justin T.
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description The Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR) has recently experienced a series of policies seeking economic development and intensive methods of social coercion. A unique leader, Chen Quanguo, brought these changes to the XUAR in 2016. This paper seeks to examine the effects of Chen's regime. We specifically examine three outcomes: GDP per capita, arrest rates, and spending on public security. Using the synthetic control method, we find that Chen's regime had no significant effect on the development. However, his policies led to much higher rates of arrest and larger spending on public security.
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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; PAIS Index; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete
subjects Arrests
China
Clearing houses
Coercion
Economic development
Economic policy
Expenditures
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
regional development
Regions
religious persecution
Security
Social development
synthetic control method
Uyghur people
Xinjiang
title The authoritarian trade‐off: A synthetic control analysis of development and social coercion in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region
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