Preliminary analysis on the formation mechanism of the unexpected catastrophic Qijiaba landslide in a tectonically non-active hilly area of China

Landslides which occur at unexpected locations and times, and which have unrecognizable risk areas, often cause mass casualties. Despite there being few preceding landslides in the same season, the catastrophic Qijiaba landslide occurred in the new government-selected settlement of Wufu village, Sichuan Province, China, on September 5, 2021, killing three people and destroying 13 houses. In this paper, the landslide features and causes are discussed based on field investigations, remote sensing interpretations, and laboratory-based soil experiments. The results showed that it was a typical soil landslide within a geomorphic hollow of the slope with a volume of 20,230 m 3 , recurrence interval of at least 69 years, and runout distance of 137.5 m. This type of landslide is difficult to predict. The soil strength in the sliding surface decreased suddenly as the water content increased, and the soil’s rich clay mineral and high clay particle contents determined its high mobility (Heim’s ratio of 0.44). The occurrence time of the Qijiaba landslide lagged 1.3 days behind the peak rainfall, and the 2-day cumulative rainfall was a crucial factor in the landslide occurrence. Finally, the large water confluence area behind the main scarp was determined to be 3.9 times the area of the landslide itself, thereby providing abundant water conditions to induce failure. The factors underlying the casualties included inappropriate site selection, insufficient awareness of potential landslides, and failure to evacuate in time. The results of this study provide a basis for future prevention, mitigation, and early warning of similar landslides.